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πŸ“– GLOSSARY Β· CENTRAL BANKS

Forward Guidance

What a central bank says about the future often moves currencies more than what it actually does today.

Forward guidance is the language a central bank uses to signal its likely future path β€” without yet making an actual policy change. A governor saying "further hikes are likely if the data holds" is forward guidance: no rate has moved, but markets have to react as though it might, soon.

Central bankers choose this language carefully, precisely so markets can distinguish between routine, data-dependent commentary and an actual signal. When a policymaker's wording becomes unusually explicit or direct, that shift in tone is often treated as more informative than the headline decision delivered alongside it.

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